Steve Barrett

September 2008 - Posts

Few companies divide opinion like Express Newspapers owner Northern & Shell and its controversial front man Richard Desmond.

When Desmond bought into national newspapers almost a decade ago he was treated as an outsider whose star would quickly wane. He was most definitely not part of the "newspaper club".

Media commentator and former Daily Mirror editor Roy Greenslade recently called Desmond the "worst newspaper publisher in 60 years", citing a devaluation of the Express brand and lack of investment that Greenslade says has hastened the decline of the once-iconic daily and Sunday newspapers.

It's true the Express' diet of weather, property prices and Princess Diana is not everyone's taste, and the masthead's claim that it is the "World's Greatest Newspaper" will not find many converts within or without Northcliffe House.

 

But there are others who, on the quiet, profess grudging admiration for the way Desmond and his long-standing associate Stan Myerson (profiled on page 14) make solid pretax profits out of print in these challenging times - £52m in 2007.

They struggle circulation-wise, but the papers bring in ready cash to Northern & Shell. And Desmond and co aren't afraid to invest when they see potential profit.

They took on Hello! in the UK and overhauled it against the odds. They had a crack at the Mail with the Express, did less well and pulled in their horns.

The group invested $100m in OK! in the US in another venture that had the sceptics predicting inevitable failure. But the magazine now breaks even, selling a million copies a week and making profit on certain issues. It looks set to start recouping the investment and prove the doubters wrong again.

Desmond and Northern & Shell will never be everyone's cup of tea. But the ruthless devotion to profit and scaling a business up or down according to circumstances is hard to argue with.

Desmond has always had a liking for the Mirror and some think he may one day mount a bid to take over the struggling paper. The regulators would have something to say about it, but that would really put the cat among the pigeons - and who's to say Desmond and crew wouldn't confound the critics and pull it off once again.

It's hard to feel too sorry for Global Radio's youthful chief executive Ashley Tabor.

After all, according to this year's Sunday Times Rich List, his businessman father Michael is worth £620m, wealth that formed the mainstay of Tabor's successful bid to set up a company that now owns almost 40% of the UK's commercial radio industry, including iconic brands such as Capital, Heart, Galaxy, LBC and Classic FM.

Few will know how it feels to walk into an institution such as Capital Radio on London's Leicester Square as the owner having once been a humble, unpaid runner there as a teenager.

 

But therein lies the rub. For no matter how well 30-year-old Tabor eventually does running his newly formed radio conglomerate, he will always be open to jealous accusations that he is nothing more than a caretaker who has been given a very expensive toy to play with by his rich father.

If he succeeds, the doubters will say it's all down to his father's money. If he fails, it will be proof positive he was just a boy doing a man's job. There have already been mumblings that soon-to-arrive radio chief executive Stephen Miron is only being brought in from Associated at the behest of Tabor Senior's business associates, who fear "the boy" is out of his depth.

That is patently unfair, however. As this week's profile of Tabor shows (see page 14), the former pop music manager and publisher has a genuine and longstanding passion for radio - and a clear vision of what he wants to achieve.

Tough decisions have already been made and acted upon. More will follow. That is inevitable when two similar businesses are brought together and taken into private ownership out of the harsh glare of the City.

Tabor has situated his office in the middle of his sales team, in sight of the recording studios. He isn't hidden away in some ivory tower - at least, not for now. He has a solid team around him and sees himself as one of a passionate group of private sector business leaders who can expand radio way beyond its current 6% advertising share.

He may make a few mistakes along the way, but he should be given the space to try and achieve his ambitious aims - and get the credit if it turns out successfully.

Radio may have a relatively small share of the UK advertising market, but it's certainly generating a lot of noise.

Rarely can a sector have undergone so much fundamental change in 12 months. Rumbling along all year has been the will they/won't they story of the Channel 4-led second digital radio multiplex, which, with well-regarded former BBC radio executive Bob Shennan on board, now looks set to launch next April, once a capacity deal has been finalised with the owners of the first multiplex - Global/GCap.

At the end of last year, Emap cut a deal with Bauer to transfer its radio interests to the German media group, and the magazine specialist has spent this year absorbing these into its UK operations.

 

Global is in the process of integrating GCap into its business to form a radio behemoth that will really take shape in 2009. And now Virgin Radio has rebranded as Absolute, in a bold move that seems initially to have gone down well in the media sector (see page 14).

The names that ran the industry in 2008, including Ralph Bernard, Fru Hazlitt, Richard Eyre and Phil Riley, have been replaced by new blood such as Ashley Tabor, Stephen Miron, Donnach O'Driscoll (see profile on page 12) and Clive Dickens. But as figures for Q2 ad spend in 2008 show (Media Week, 2 September, page 4), radio faces severe challenges. Spend was down 10.2% year on year, with national ad spend down a massive 15.9%.

Q4 is going to be vital for radio if it is to continue to make its case as a really effective ad medium. In many ways, radio suffers from its flexibility: it is good at reacting quickly and being able to accept bookings at short notice, but that also means advertisers can wait until the last minute in an uncertain market to allocate their money.

Much of commercial radio has had the pressures of the stock market removed from it and is now in the private sector. Let's hope this fact, combined with the current noise and attention surrounding radio, can be translated into energy that will be reflected in greater client spend.

ZenithOptimedia's La Rentree party is fast becoming the annual fixture on the media calendar to mark the return to work and the official start of the "new term".

Last night's event was the usual jolly affair, but did provide a few pointers to the new age of austerity that is being forced on the media industry by the credit crunch.

The main clue was the surprising number of people in attendance wearing ties, especially individuals not traditionally noted for their enthusiasm for the traditional neckwear of business. It seems a period of economic uncertainty is persuading some to don their ties again in an attempt to persuade clients that there's definitely no frivolity in their agency and that they are definitely concentrating on business - although the standard line trotted out by many was that "they've always worn a tie".

Hosts Gerry Boyle and Derek Morris were chief amongst the sartorial fashionistas forsaking the open-necked look, though Derek put his new look to good use later in the evening by acting as a "bouncer" to escort stragglers off the premises once the booze had run out. Associated's Guy Zitter usually wears a tie, as does Starcom's Stewart Easterbrook. News International's Dominic Carter, still basking in the glory of his recent Matrix-style profile photo shoot in Media Week, was in the "I've always worn a tie" club.

Facebook's Blake Chandlee maintained his new-media cool and remained tie-less. As did Yahoo's Mark Rabe. We really will know the economy's in trouble when the digital crowd makes the transition. And outgoing GCap sales chief Simon Daglish definitely won the prize for the loudest shirt of the night - for the umpteenth year running.

HMD&G's Greg Grimmer explained how he had done the right thing and retrieved a tie from his collection of 200 gathering dust at the back of his wardrobe for a recent meeting, only to turn up and find the clients all casually tie-less.

Sometimes you just can't win either way...

The formidable Stephen Allan is a tough act to follow.

He established WPP's GroupM trading operation and made it the behemoth it is today, but WPP recently confirmed that Allan is moving from GroupM to succeed Alexander Schmidt-Vogel as worldwide chief executive of MediaCom, with Nick Theakstone rising from chief operating officer into Allan's old job. Allan has hired MediaCom UK chief executive Nick Lawson for the MediaCom EMEA role, with Jane Ratcliffe replacing Lawson.

So it's Theakstone who must build on Allan's legacy. He is a smart operator, but situation dictates he may find it more difficult to keep GroupM's agencies in line than his ex-boss.
In this week's profile, Theakstone points out that GroupM is about more than buying clout; it's also about supplying its agencies with proprietary and media evaluation tools, content and anything else they want.

But, as we reported last week, the likes of Mediaedge:cia are quite capable of producing their own tools and MindShare and MediaCom have long expounded the value of investing in content, so GroupM must find its niche within the existing initiatives at all its agencies.

There is also festering resentment at the agencies about the high service charges they pay GroupM, and some questioning of whether they could obtain better trading deals themselves.

Then there's the added complication that, not so long ago, Theakstone reported to one of his agency heads, Jed Glanvill, as head of investment at MindShare. The opposite is now true.

MediaCom's Lawson has conveniently been promoted, but Mediaedge:cia's boss Tom George may also feel differently about reporting to Theakstone than he did to Allan.

GroupM is a juggernaut that operates way above its rivals, but it is now entering a very different phase in its development, with different and difficult challenges ahead.

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